Dogecoin (DOGE) has seen a turbulent week seeing a loss of 40% at its lowest point, before DOGE recovered as the market rebounded.
Elon Musk, Government Influence, and Market Impact
The influence of Elon Musk on Dogecoin’s price has been a constant, but his recent political involvement adds new layers of uncertainty.
Reports suggest that Musk’s team has gained access to the Treasury’s payment system, sparking concerns about financial oversight and potential misuse. While officials insist that no transactions have been blocked, the growing connection between Musk’s influence and governmental affairs has created unease in financial markets.
On social media, discussions have been rampant. Ali, a well-known analyst, noted that Dogecoin’s drop could be attributed to whales exiting their positions, while smaller investors panic-sell.
Trader Ali Post suggests Whales are selling. Source: Ali’s X post
His post suggested that DOGE’s history of sharp corrections followed by rebounds could play out once again, though he cautioned against assuming an immediate recovery.
Technical Analysis and Social Media Speculation
The steep decline in Dogecoin’s value followed a broader market sell-off triggered by new tariffs introduced by the Trump administration. Crypto analyst Tardigrade pointed out that DOGE had entered what he called the “final capitulation” phase—a stage in past cycles that has historically preceded major rallies.
Trader Tardigrade Chart Showing Doge Entering what he calls “final Capitulation” Source: X Post
He compared this drop to similar declines in previous years, noting that Dogecoin had rebounded massively after past downturns.
Meanwhile, Alemzadeh, another market analyst, highlighted key Fibonacci retracement levels and the 30-week moving average, suggesting that DOGE could hold above the crucial $0.20–$0.22 range if sentiment stabilizes.
Trader Alemzadeh Chart showing Positive Fibonacci Level: Source: Alemzadeh on X
Other X posts have echoed this view, with some predicting a price recovery to $0.85 if historical patterns repeat.
Will Dogecoin Recover?
Despite its sharp drop, Dogecoin has shown resilience, bouncing back 26% from its lowest point. While the broader crypto market remains volatile, technical signals suggest a potential for reversal.
However, as with all speculative assets, caution is advised. Whether Dogecoin stages another surprise comeback or continues its decline depends on broader market conditions and investor sentiment in the coming weeks.
However, with David Sacks set to hold a press conference today to discuss the future of digital assets in America, it’s hard not to be bullish.
