XRP is back in the spotlight as sharp price movements, driven by whale activity and growing ETF speculation, create waves in the crypto market.
The last days of June brought a mix of bullish momentum and caution, with large XRP holders both accumulating and offloading millions of tokens, leading to heightened market volatility.
Whale Moves: Accumulation and Dumping Collide
On June 30, WhaleAlert reported a notable transfer of 25.5 million XRP to Coinbase, raising eyebrows across the community. Traditionally, such large inflows to exchanges suggest a sell-off, often leading to downward pressure on the XRP price. However, in an unexpected twist, the price of XRP today rose following the transfer, defying common market logic.
25,498,179 XRP worth approximately $56.1 million was transferred from an unknown wallet to Coinbase, signaling potential market activity. Source: Whale Alert via X
This unusual price behavior has prompted speculation that whales may be repositioning rather than exiting. As Olumide Adesina of FXLeaders noted, “Large holders are re-entering the market… prompting a new wave of whale activity in XRP.” This dual action—dumping and accumulating—mirrors patterns seen in past XRP rallies and suggests that whales may be positioning for a longer-term play.
XRP Price Surges on Technical Momentum
Despite the apparent mixed signals from whale transactions, XRP surged by over 5% on June 30, fueled by increased speculative interest and technical momentum. According to Coinglass data, XRP’s open interest in derivatives markets reached $1.7 billion, with trading volume hitting $3.3 billion—a sharp increase from previous sessions.
If XRP confirms the current bull flag on the daily chart, it could break above the cup-and-handle neckline and potentially rally toward the $6.70 breakout target. Source: DrDovetail on TradingView
Notably, over 75% of positions were long, signaling a highly bullish sentiment among traders. Yet, analysts remain cautious, warning of risk to the downside if sentiment quickly reverses or Bitcoin gets pinned below important levels.
Technical indicators are also conflicted. While XRP/USD did hit an intraday peak of $2.32, it could not convincingly break above the daily Ichimoku cloud. This suggests that while momentum is supportive, resistance points must be breached for a lasting break out.
Legal Clarity Strengthens Bullish Sentiment
Ripple’s dismissal of its cross-appeal in the several-year XRP case against the U.S. SEC provided further hope. This judicial development not only marks a giant leap toward the
resolution of the Ripple vs SEC case but also provides further regulatory clarity—a key factor for institutional investors.
XRP was trading at around $2.20, up 1.34% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP Liquid Index (XRPLX) via Brave New Coin
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse described the move as strategic, noting it was designed to “close this chapter once and for all,” signaling Ripple’s willingness to close the chapter. This reduced uncertainty and legal shift are fueling increased investor optimism and growing anticipation of an XRP-spot ETF.
XRP ETF Buzz Builds After Grayscale Move
Fueling speculation, Grayscale’s recent filing to convert its Digital Large Cap Fund into an ETF has pushed XRP into the fray of ETF approval. The proposed fund lists XRP as part of its basket, besides Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart now estimate a 95% probability of an XRP ETF approval by the end of 2025.
In the words of Nate Geraci, President of The ETF Store, “Approving GDLC gives the SEC a nice warm-up to start slowly introducing other crypto assets like XRP into ETFs.”
This sentiment has energized the XRP community, often referred to as the “XRP Army,” which remains among the most passionate in crypto. Polymarket’s latest forecast, however, reflects mixed expectations, with odds for approval by December 2025 down to 60.2%, a drop from over 98% earlier in June.
Short-Term Outlook: Volatility Likely to Persist
As of press time, XRP price today stands around $2.23, with the token outperforming the broader market’s decline. Near-term price action will likely depend on two key factors: the SEC’s response to Grayscale’s ETF filing and Bitcoin’s next move. A breakout above the June 16 high of $2.33 could pave the way toward May’s peak of $2.65, with $3.39 as a longer-term target.
XRP faces resistance at $2.34 but remains in a bullish trend as long as it holds above $2.16 or the 50-SMA, with a potential retest of the $2.34 level on the horizon. Source: FenzoFxBroker on TradingView
On the downside, if XRP drops below the 50-day EMA, bears could target the 200-day EMA, which currently sits near $1.93.
Final Thoughts
With massive whale transfers, growing ETF anticipation, and legal clarity improving day by day, XRP today finds itself at a crucial turning point. Whether the recent whale moves are a setup for a major rally or early warning signs of volatility ahead remains to be seen. One thing is clear: XRP is once again a coin to watch closely as the crypto market enters July with heightened expectations.
For those tracking the XRP coin price, XRP crypto news, and XRP price prediction 2025, this evolving mix of technical energy and institutional buzz could set the stage for significant market moves in the weeks ahead.
