Ripple’s native cryptocurrency, XRP, has captured market attention following a notable 50% retracement from its early-year highs.
After surging over 350% from under $0.50 to a peak of $3.40 in January 2025, XRP has since stabilized around the $2 mark. This correction, while steep, may have formed a solid technical base, prompting speculation about a renewed breakout.
Technical indicators suggest a possible bullish reversal. A falling wedge pattern, typically viewed as a bullish signal, has emerged on XRP’s chart. In addition, a bullish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) hints at underlying buying pressure. A break above the upper trendline of this wedge could trigger a rally toward the $3.40 level, and potentially higher.
Legal Clarity Boosts Market Sentiment
XRP’s price trajectory continues to be shaped by developments in the long-standing SEC vs Ripple lawsuit. A recent proposed settlement would see Ripple paying $50 million—less than half of the amount originally expected. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse described this as a symbolic win that reaffirms Ripple’s business model and regulatory resilience.
XRP was trading at around $2.12, up 2.95% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP Liquid Index (XRPLX) via Brave New Coin
This legal clarity has injected confidence into the market. “The settlement removes a major overhang,” noted a legal analyst. Investors see the end of litigation as a green light for new partnerships and greater institutional interest.
Ripple Expands Ecosystem and Institutional Ties
Ripple’s network is still expanding, backing long-term XRP price models. Collaborations with big banks like Bank of America, Santander, and American Express make Ripple a viable substitute for SWIFT. RLUSD stablecoin adoption and continued developer activity further enhance the bullish theme.
Crypto analyst ChartingGuy pointed to the Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, indicating XRP may be in phase D—typically associated with price markup. “We could see a push past $4 if XRP defends the $2 support level,” he said.
Golden Cross and Market Trends Suggest Upward Momentum
A potential golden cross on XRP’s daily chart has caught traders’ attention. This occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day average—often a precursor to long-term gains. XRP’s market cap currently sits above $120 billion, with analysts suggesting that confirmation of this pattern could lead to a retest of the $3 level and possibly a climb toward $4.50 or even $5.
XRP’s daily chart shows a potential falling wedge breakout, with price targets near $3.80 and $5 based on key Fibonacci levels. Source: albertbryan91 on TradingView
Altcoin market dynamics also play a role. Bitcoin’s rally past $87,000 has lifted sentiment across the board. According to Austin Hilton, the altcoin market recently formed its own golden cross—an indicator that historically preceded a 200% rally in 2021.
ETF Speculation and International Adoption Fuel Hope
Adding to the bullish outlook are ETF filings from major asset managers like Bitwise, Grayscale, and ProShares. Experts speculate that a leadership change at the SEC could accelerate approval, potentially acting as a strong catalyst for XRP.
XRP is entering phase 6 of its rise to dominance, with an altcoin season underway and anticipation building for major partnerships and eventual XRP ETF approval. Source: Bale via X
Meanwhile, global adoption continues. Japan’s central bank has announced plans to incorporate XRP into all domestic bank transactions by 2025, a move likely to boost liquidity and usage across Asia.
Looking Ahead: Calm Before the Breakout?
Despite recent price consolidation, the stage appears to be set for a significant move. Legal resolution, favorable technical indicators, strategic partnerships, and rising global adoption point toward renewed upside potential. If momentum continues and external conditions remain favorable, XRP’s ambitious target of $5 may soon move from speculation to reality.
While no forecast is guaranteed, the alignment of bullish signals offers a cautiously optimistic XRP price prediction for the remainder of 2025.
