As XRP continues to consolidate near the $2.20 level, crypto analysts and traders are closely watching the charts for signs of another explosive breakout.
After a stellar 700% rally in 2024, renewed speculation is emerging around whether XRP can replicate that surge — potentially fueled by a looming short squeeze and bullish technical setup.
Surge in Open Interest Fuels Speculative Buzz
Recent XRP news reveals that open interest in XRP futures has ballooned to nearly $5 billion, suggesting heightened speculative activity in the derivatives market. According to Bitget’s chief market analyst Ryan Lee, “This spike suggests strong potential momentum, with market participants bracing for a decisive move.”
XRP Futures Open Interest (USD) chart. Source: CoinGlass
This surge in open interest often reflects leveraged positions on both sides of the trade. If prices move sharply in one direction — especially upward — it could trigger a short squeeze, forcing bearish traders to exit at a loss and adding upward pressure to the XRP price.
“XRP’s price is currently consolidating in a tight range,” Lee noted. “Historically, this has preceded breakout moves, especially when paired with consistent spot buying pressure.”
Cooling Off After Rally: Is It the Calm Before the Storm?
Despite the optimism, XRP’s recent price action has been somewhat muted. After peaking at $2.35, the XRP price has cooled, slipping to $2.16 as of June 19, 2025. Indicators such as the Supertrend and MACD have turned neutral or bearish, and the token is hovering below key resistance zones.
Short-term technical analysis shows XRP caught within a descending pitchfork channel, with the immediate range defined between $2.11 support and $2.21 resistance. The 30-minute RSI is neutral at 47, and volume indicators suggest that strong buying momentum has yet to return.
Still, analysts caution against reading too much into this temporary cooldown. Crypto investor Michael XBT, who accurately predicted the 700% rally last year, sees this as a healthy pause.
“This is a textbook cooldown after a large move,” he said. “The structure is still intact, and there’s potential for another leg up — possibly on the scale of Bitcoin’s historic trendline breakout.”
Historical Parallels: Could XRP Repeat Its 700% Breakout?
In 2024, XRP stunned the market by surging from $0.38 to $3.40, marking a 700% rally that cemented its comeback status. That move was sparked by a breakout from a 7-year bull pennant, as identified by Michael XBT. With XRP once again consolidating and speculation mounting, some traders believe a similar pattern could emerge.
XRP’s 7-month consolidation after a 700% breakout is ending, with a major move likely as Bitcoin nears its 8-year trendline. Source: @MichaelXBT via X
This time, the setup is more complex. While technical conditions are aligning, the market is also weighing broader factors, including developments related to the XRP lawsuit between Ripple and the SEC. Any favorable XRP lawsuit news or Ripple news could act as a catalyst, amplifying price action.
Market sentiment has also been influenced by Ripple XRP news surrounding the XRPL’s ongoing upgrades and potential ETF listings, both of which could drive institutional interest.
Key Levels to Watch: Bulls and Bears Brace for a Break
For XRP to reignite bullish momentum, it must break above the $2.21 resistance and reclaim the $2.236 (R3 pivot) level. A clean move above that zone would likely challenge the next major target at $2.35, potentially triggering liquidations of short positions and accelerating gains.
XRP price chart showing key price levels. Source: MaxOnMarkets on TradingView
On the flip side, failure to hold support at $2.11 could lead to a retest of lower levels — with $2.02, $1.92, and even $1.83 (Fib extension) emerging as downside targets if broader market sentiment weakens.
The Supertrend indicator remains bearish, with its threshold currently sitting above $2.27. Meanwhile, VWAP and Parabolic SAR also hover above the current price, reinforcing resistance.
Broader Outlook: Ripple Momentum and Legal Developments in Focus
Beyond price charts, Ripple’s broader ecosystem remains a point of interest. The company’s collaboration with banks like Bank of America, continued advancements in the Ripple ledger, and rumors of a Ripple exchange have kept it in the spotlight.
XRP was trading at around $2.15, up 0.9% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP Liquid Index (XRPLX) via Brave New Coin
The Ripple lawsuit update also continues to be a wild card. Any resolution or progress in the long-standing XRP SEC lawsuit could deliver a significant boost to investor confidence.
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has hinted at major developments in store for 2025, and many believe the Ripple market could soon experience a shift that benefits XRP holders — particularly if legal clarity emerges.
Final Thoughts: Short Squeeze Rally or Another Fade?
With XRP consolidating near key technical levels and open interest hitting new highs, the stage is set for a potentially volatile move. Whether that results in a short squeeze-fueled breakout or another retracement will depend on upcoming catalysts — both technical and fundamental.
For now, analysts like Michael XBT remain cautiously optimistic, while traders continue to monitor the charts for confirmation.
The next few weeks could prove decisive — not just for XRP’s price, but for its standing in a crypto market increasingly shaped by regulation, institutional interest, and shifting sentiment.
